URBAN POTENTIALITIES: A TEMPORAL ANALYSIS IN THE LARANJAL DISTRICT IN PELOTAS/RS

Abstract

This study analyzes urban potentialities in Laranjal district in Pelotas/RS and shows that it is possible to manage land use through the use of urban configurational models, specifically urban convergence, and foresee future scenarios for the allocation of businesses and services. In this way, this technique can be used to manage land use as opposed to static urban zoning in which activities are rigidly assigned to urban sectors without considering the demands and accessibility to these offers. Thus, the study was conducted by modeling the potential in a time frame of an urban scenario and its results were compared with another scenario in a time interval of 20 years. For the investigation, statistical probability analyzes were carried out with Pearson's "chi-squared” test among the results obtained and the subsequent scenario. A high correlation was obtained and the degree of adherence between the variables highlights the effectiveness of the model as a descriptor of the urban scenario. This premise reinforces the logic that it is possible to manage the urban environment, foresee scenarios, assign public qualification and urban design policies with the effect of enhancing solutions for the actors that interact in the urban scenario.