HOW THE BRAZILIAN CERRADO IS CHANGING OVERTIME IN NORTHERN MINAS GERAIS? SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14393/RCG259769228

Keywords:

Deforestation, Landscape Metrics, GIS, Landscape Ecology, MapBiomas

Abstract

Deforestation is a complex problem worldwide caused mostly by the increase in farming activities. Despite the Brazilian Cerrado being the most biodiverse savanna in the world, this biome is threatened by high deforestation rates. The present study aimed to evaluate deforestation in in São Francisco municipality – Minas Gerais state in Brazil's southwestern region, analyzing changes in land cover between 2012 and 2020 focusing on forest, savanna, and grassland physiognomies, and predicting changes in the land cover for the year 2030. It was evaluated metrics of density and size, edge, shape, core area, and proximity. The forest and savanna fragments suffered a reduction in area (0.92% and 12.60%, respectively) and core area, and also increased its proximity. On the other hand, the grassland physiognomy increased its total area (12.72%), nuclear area, and distance from the other fragments. In general, the forest fragment and savanna fragments tended to be elongated and irregular. For 2030, a scenario is predicted with increasing grassland and decreasing forest and savanna. Those changes in the landscape can threaten the region's biodiversity, so public policy attention is needed to the conservation of the fragmented areas.

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Author Biographies

Vicente Paulo Santana Neto, Federal University of Viçosa

Graduated in Forestry Engineering from the Federal University of Lavras, Master in Forestry Sciences from the Federal University of Viçosa and currently a doctoral student at the Federal University of Viçosa.

Reginaldo Arthur Gloria Marcelino, Federal University of Viçosa

Graduated in Forestry Engineering in Federal University of São João del-Rei and currently as Master student in Federal University of Viçosa.

Emanuelly Canabrava Magalhães, Federal University of Viçosa

Graduated in Forestry Engineering from the Federal University of Minas Gerais, Master in Forestry Sciences from the Federal University of Viçosa and currently a doctoral student at the Federal University of Viçosa.

Polyanne Aparecida Coelho, Federal University of Lavras

Graduated in Forestry Engineering from the Federal University of Lavras, Master and Doctor in Forestry Sciences from the Federal University of Lavras and currently postdoctoral fellow at the Federal University of Lavras.

Aretha Franklin Guimarães, National Institute of Amazonian Research

Graduated in Forestry Engineering from the Federal University of Lavras, Master and Doctor in Forestry Sciences from the Federal University of Lavras and currently postdoctoral fellow at the Federal University of Viçosa.

Fausto Weimar Acerbi Júnior, Federal University of Lavras

Graduate, Master and Doctor in Forestry Engineering from the Federal University of Lavras. He is currently Associate Professor III at the Department of Forest Sciences at the Federal University of Lavras.

Alexandre Simões Lorenzon, Federal University of Viçosa

Graduate, Master and Doctor in Forestry Engineering from the Federal University of Viçosa. He is currently a professor at the Department of Forestry at the Federal University of Viçosa.

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Published

2024-02-20

How to Cite

SANTANA NETO, V. P.; MARCELINO, R. A. G.; MAGALHÃES, E. C.; COELHO, P. A.; GUIMARÃES, A. F.; ACERBI JÚNIOR, F. W.; LORENZON, A. S. HOW THE BRAZILIAN CERRADO IS CHANGING OVERTIME IN NORTHERN MINAS GERAIS? SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION. Caminhos de Geografia, Uberlândia, v. 25, n. 97, p. 293–309, 2024. DOI: 10.14393/RCG259769228. Disponível em: https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/caminhosdegeografia/article/view/69228. Acesso em: 22 nov. 2024.