DEFORESTATION AND LAND USE CONFLICT IN THE ATLANTIC FOREST (BAHIAN HYLEA): A SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14393/RCG2781242Keywords:
Forest conservation, Environmental impact, Agricultural census, Biodiversity, Land cover changeAbstract
Deforestation in the Atlantic Forest of Bahia is associated with socioeconomic and environmental drivers. The remaining forest cover remains below the threshold required to ensure long-term conservation. Climate change and persistent social inequalities intensify these pressures. This study analyzes public data from 189 municipalities in the state of Bahia, integrating environmental and socioeconomic variables. Statistical analyses were conducted in RStudio, applying normality and correlation tests to identify patterns and relationships among variables. Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient was used to evaluate temporal trends and associations among variables. The results demonstrate a strong association between deforestation and the expansion of cattle ranching and pasture areas. This relationship weakens over time, as the correlation between livestock, pasture, and deforestation decreases from 0.52 to 0.26 in 2023, indicating shifts in land use dynamics. Urban dynamics and agricultural expansion also influence deforestation patterns, which increased from 0.87% in 2004 to 0.91% in 2023, consistent with demographic census data, with correlation coefficients of 0.24 and 0.22.
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