Brazilian Disease and two lost decades: the limits of industry's contribution to development

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14393/REE-v40nesp.maioa2025-78367

Keywords:

Deindustrialization, Industry and development, Structural change, Brazilian Disease, Brazilian economy

Abstract

This paper aims to measure the contribution of Brazilian industry to development by analyzing the process of structural transformation between 2000 and 2019. This measurement will be analyzed in three dimensions: (i) productivity, (ii) workers’ wages, and (iii) exports sophistication. The relationship between structural transformation and development is analyzed in comparison with the main middle-income countries. In addition to the existence of a process of deindustrialization, this paper contributes to the literature by demonstrating that this process is associated with a reduction in the contribution of Brazilian industry to development along the lines proposed by Kaldor’s laws.

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Author Biographies

  • Antonio Carlos Diegues, Unicamp

    Professor no Instituto de Economia da Universidade Estadual de Campinas

  • José Eduardo Roselino, UFSCar

    Professor da Universidade Federal de São Carlos 

  • Flávio Vinicius Ferreira, Unicamp

    Doutorando em Desenvolvimento Econômico no Instituto de Economia da Universidade Estadual de Campinas

  • Eduardo Zimmermann, Unicamp

    Mestrando em Desenvolvimento Econômico no Instituto de Economia da Universidade Estadual de Campinas

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Published

2025-05-30

Issue

Vol. 40 No. esp.maio (2025): "A Economia Brasileira nas Últimas Quatro Décadas" - Revista Economia Ensaios – 40 anos (1984-2024)

Section

Artigos

License

Copyright on any open access article published by “Revista Economia Ensaios” is retained by the author(s). Authors grant “Revista Economia Ensaios” the right to first publish the article, and also grant any third party the right to use the article freely, in educational and non-commercial applications, so long as its integrity is kept and authors and citation details are identified.

How to Cite

DIEGUES, Antonio Carlos; ROSELINO, José Eduardo; FERREIRA, Flávio Vinicius; ZIMMERMANN, Eduardo. Brazilian Disease and two lost decades: the limits of industry’s contribution to development. Revista Economia Ensaios, Uberlândia, Minas Gerais, Brasil, v. 40, n. esp.maio, 2025. DOI: 10.14393/REE-v40nesp.maioa2025-78367. Disponível em: https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/revistaeconomiaensaios/article/view/78367. Acesso em: 6 dec. 2025.