Asymmetric Analysis of Brazil-China and Brazil-US Bilateral Trade Flows

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14393/REE-v40n1a2025-72012

Keywords:

Volatility, Asymmetry, Exchange rate, trade flows, NARDL

Abstract

This study investigates the asymmetric impacts of real bilateral exchange rate volatility on Brazil’s export and import flows. The analysis focuses on Brazil’s trade with the United States and China, disaggregated by two-digit industry classifications (99 sectors), covering the period from 2000 to 2017. The main findings reveal asymmetries in both exports and imports: 12.12% and 9.09%, respectively, in Brazil–US trade; and 10.10% and 8.08%, respectively, in Brazil–China trade.

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Author Biographies

  • Danilo Luciano Pires, UFJF

    Ph.D. in Economics. Visiting Professor, Department of Economics, Federal University of Juiz de Fora (UFJF), Brazil

  • Cláudio Roberto Foffano Vasconcelos, UFJF

    Ph.D. in Economics. Full Professor, Faculty of Economics, Federal University of Juiz de Fora (UFJF), Brazil

     

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Published

2025-07-17

Issue

Vol. 40 No. 1 (2025)

Section

Artigos

License

Copyright on any open access article published by “Revista Economia Ensaios” is retained by the author(s). Authors grant “Revista Economia Ensaios” the right to first publish the article, and also grant any third party the right to use the article freely, in educational and non-commercial applications, so long as its integrity is kept and authors and citation details are identified.

How to Cite

PIRES, Danilo Luciano; VASCONCELOS, Cláudio Roberto Foffano. Asymmetric Analysis of Brazil-China and Brazil-US Bilateral Trade Flows. Revista Economia Ensaios, Uberlândia, Minas Gerais, Brasil, v. 40, n. 1, 2025. DOI: 10.14393/REE-v40n1a2025-72012. Disponível em: https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/revistaeconomiaensaios/article/view/72012. Acesso em: 28 dec. 2025.