ANALYSIS OF AEDES AEGYPTI TEMPORAL DISTRIBUTION IN THE STATE OF SANTA CATARINA, BRAZIL, FROM 2011 TO 2023
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14393/Hygeia2173122Resumo
This study aimed to analyze the temporal distribution of Aedes aegypti in the state of Santa Catarina, Brazil, along with its health macro-regions, from January 2011 to April 2023, seeking to detect any potential trends and seasonalities. Nine health macro-regions of Santa Catarina, as well as it is state, were used as units of analysis. Data on Ae. aegypti outbreaks were obtained by the State's Directorate of Epidemiological Surveillance. Additive decomposition was applied to the time series data to separate them into three main components: trend, seasonality, and residuals. Autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions were examined. Regression graphs were generated to assess the growth model of breeding sites during specific identified months. A total of 285,009 Ae. aegypti outbreaks were reported in Santa Catarina during the study period. Temporal analyses revealed a seasonal pattern, with the highest number of breeding sites occurring in February and March, corresponding to the months with higher temperatures. The results underscore the necessity for more intense implementation of control and preventive measures in municipalities, especially during February and March. Furthermore, there is a call for more in-depth investigations into the factors contributing to these increases.
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